|
:: Sunday, November 05, 2006 ::
"The Democrats are wildly overconfident about their coming revenge. Headlines here and in Europe are celebrating a bloody defeat for George W. Bush. Leftwingers are bubbling with eagerness to talk to pollsters.
"On the Right, Republicans can't stand the pollsters, who are blamed for their constant push-polls on behalf of the Left. Their predictable reaction is to avoid pollsters like the bird flu that never quite met the media hype. Today you would almost have to waterboard a lot of conservatives, one by one, to get them to talk to pollsters. You can't get a random sample if one of your target groups won't answer. So the data will be wildly skewed." I think this is about right; conservatives despise pollsters. If asked, I'd lie as I suppose many other conservatives would. No doubt this phenomenon had some effect on the 04 exit polls. I think Dem wishfull thinking combined with the Conservative reticence to talk led to the embarrasing '04 exit poll results. Maybe this is why media-elite are keeping their stupid mouths shut this time. They know exit polls are, at best, an antiquated media device utilized to bolster their obvious partisan presumptions. We'll see.
Update: Cranky over at protein wisdom is on the same wavelength.
:: Max 10:19 PM [+] ::
...
|