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:: Tuesday, June 22, 2004 ::
It's The Barbarians Stupid
John Podhoretz carefully asseses W's current polling data, contrasting the June 04 numbers to his father's position at this same point in 1992 election. I feel it is too early to make any meaningful predictions--too much instability in the area of national security. However, given the data, Podhoretz makes a pretty strong case for a Bush win in November. Here's an excerpt:
As things stand right now, Dubya's approval rating in most polls is back over 50 percent. He's taken the lead back from Kerry in almost every national survey in the past week. The Harris poll, which has long had a reputation for skewing liberal, shows Bush ahead by 10 points. Another left-leaning pollster, Stanley Greenberg, has the race at 49-48 in a survey done for National Public Radio.
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Could the discomfort come back? Of course. Could the numbers get bad for Bush again? Of course.
But right now, all things considered, with 132 days to go, you'd want to be George W. Bush and not John Kerry
I have a hunch that if you asked 100 Americans who they'd rather have a beer with, Bush or Kerry, 80% would say George W. Bush. I think this is important but I'm not sure why exactly.
Prediction: If the evil-doers manage to pull off another major stunt in the US before the election, it's Bush in a landslide.
Via Hugh Hewitt [>]
:: Max 10:19 PM [+] ::
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